Goetzmann, Akiko Watanabe, and Masahiro Watanabe, "GDP Growth Expectations and Cash-flow Risk Premium," NBER Working Paper 34402 (2025), ...
An end to the shutdown looks to be in sight, but growth has already been affected, with an economist estimating ...
In the pre-pandemic era, U.S. economic forecasts were often overly optimistic. However, post-pandemic, the trend has shifted to underestimations, as highlighted by Lori Calvasina, head of U.S. equity ...