We all have the habit of trying to guess the killer in a movie before the big reveal. That’s us making inferences. It’s what happens when your brain connects the dots without being told everything ...

At a recent conference on Bayes, fiducial and frequentist inference, David Cox presented eight illustrative examples, chosen to highlight potential difficulties for the theory of inference. We discuss ...

You have called reasoning “the core of human thinking”. How do you define it? Reasoning is a systematic mental process in which an individual reaches a conclusion from a starting point that depends on ...

At the beginning of 2021, I posted a piece on this blog asking if any readers wanted to develop their critical thinking as a kind of New Year’s resolution. In light of the positive feedback I received ...

If there is a certain pool of choices and we can exclude A and B, we can easily deduce that C must be the appropriate choice. The ability of animals to be able to solve this has been the focus of many ...